2017酒精饮料行业报告（英文版）.pdf

Alcoholic Beverages2017The annual report on the worlds most valuable alcoholic beverages brandsMarch 2017Brand Finance Alcoholic Beverages March 2017 3.Brand Finance Australia 100 March 2016 2. Global 500 February 2016 Airlines 30 30 February 2015Alcoholic Beverages March 2017ForewordForeword 2 Definitions 4Methodology 6Executive Summary - Spirits 50 8Full Table - Spirits 50 (USDm) 13Executive Summary - Beers 25 14Full Table - Beers 25 (USDm) 17How We Can Help 18Contact Details 19ContentsDavid Haigh, CEO, Brand FinanceWhat is the purpose of a strong brand; to attract customers, to build loyalty, to motivate staff? All true, but for a commercial brand at least, the first answer must always be to make money. Huge investments are made in the design, launch and ongoing promotion of brands. Given their potential financial value, this makes sense. Unfortunately, most organisations fail to go beyond that, missing huge opportunities to effectively make use of what are often their most important assets. Monitoring of brand performance should be the next step, but is often sporadic. Where it does take place it frequently lacks financial rigour and is heavily reliant on qualitative measures poorly understood by non-marketers. As a result, marketing teams struggle to communicate the value of their work and boards then underestimate the significance of their brands to the business. Skeptical finance teams, unconvinced by what they perceive as marketing mumbo jumbo may fail to agree necessary investments. What marketing spend there is can end up poorly directed as marketers are left to operate with insufficient financial guidance or accountability. The end result can be a slow but steady downward spiral of poor communication, wasted resources and a negative impact on the bottom line.Brand Finance bridges the gap between the marketing and financial worlds. Our teams have experience across a wide range of disciplines from market research and visual identity to tax and accounting. We understand the importance of design, advertising and marketing, but we also believe that the ultimate and overriding purpose of brands is to make money. That is why we connect brands to the bottom line. By valuing brands, we provide a mutually intelligible language for marketers and finance teams. Marketers then have the ability to communicate the significance of what they do and boards can use the information to chart a course that maximises profits. Without knowing the precise, financial value of an asset, how can you know if you are maximising your returns? If you are intending to license a brand, how can you know you are getting a fair price? If you are intending to sell, how do you know what the right time is? How do you decide which brands to discontinue, whether to rebrand and how to arrange your brand architecture? Brand Finance has conducted thousands of brand and branded business valuations to help answer these questions.Brand Finances recently conducted share price study revealed the compelling link between strong brands and stock market performance. It was found that investing in the most highly branded companies would lead to a return almost double that of the average for the S&P 500 as a whole. Acknowledging and managing a companys intangible assets taps into the hidden value that lies within it. The following report is a first step to understanding more about brands, how to value them and how to use that information to benefit the business. The team and I look forward to continuing the conversation with you. Brand Finance Alcoholic Beverages March 2017 5.Brand Finance Alcoholic Beverages March 2017 4.DefinitionsDefinitions+ Enterprise Value the value of the entire enterprise, made up of multiple branded businesses+ Branded Business Value the value of a single branded business operating under the subject brand+ Brand Contribution The totaleconomic benefit derived by abusiness from its brand+ Brand Value the value of the trade marks (and relating marketing IP and goodwill attached to it) within the branded businessBranded BusinessBranded EnterpriseE.g.DiageoE.g. Johnnie WalkerE.g.Johnnie WalkerBrand ValueBranded BusinessBranded EnterpriseBrand ContributionE.g.Johnnie WalkerBranded Business ValueA brand should be viewed in the context of the business in which it operates. For this reason Brand Finance always conducts a Branded Business Valuation as part of any brand valuation. Where a company has a purely mono-branded architecture, the business value is the same as the overall company value or enterprise value. In the more usual situation where a company owns multiple brands, business value refers to the value of the assets and revenue stream of the business line attached to that brand specifically. We evaluate the full brand value chain in order to understand the links between marketing investment, brand tracking data, stakeholder behaviour and business value to maximise the returns business owners can obtain from their brands.Brand ContributionThe brand values contained in our league tables are those of the potentially transferable brand asset only, but for marketers and managers alike. An assessment of overall brand contribution to a business provides powerful insights to help optimise performance.Brand Contribution represents the overall uplift in shareholder value that the business derives from owning the brand rather than operating a generic brand. Brands affect a variety of stakeholders, not just customers but also staff, strategic partners, regulators, investors and more, having a significant impact on financial value beyond what can be bought or sold in a transaction.Brand ValueIn the very broadest sense, a brand is the focus for all the expectations and opinions held by customers, staff and other stakeholders about an organisation and its products and services. However, when looking at brands as business assets that can be bought, sold and licensed, a more technical definition is required. Brand Finance helped to craft the internationally recognised standard on Brand Valuation, ISO 10668. That defines a brand as “a marketing-related intangible asset including, but not limited to, names, terms, signs, symbols, logos and designs, or a combination of these, intended to identify goods, services or entities, or a combination of these, creating distinctive images and associations in the minds of stakeholders, thereby generating economic benefits/value”.Brand Strength Brand Strength is the part of our analysis most directly and easily influenced by those responsible for marketing and brand management. In order to determine the strength of a brand we have developed the Brand Strength Index (BSI). We analyse marketing investment, brand equity (the goodwill accumulated with customers, staff and other stakeholders) and finally the impact of those on business performance. Following this analysis, each brand is assigned a BSI score out of 100, which is fed into the brand value calculation. Based on the score, each brand in the league table is assigned a rating between AAA+ and D in a format similar to a credit rating. AAA+ brands are exceptionally strong and well managed while a failing brand would be assigned a D grade. Effect of a Brand on StakeholdersPotentialCustomersExistingCustomersInfluencerse.g. MediaTradeChannelsStrategicAllies &Suppliers InvestorsDebt providersSalesProductionAll OtherEmployeesMiddleManagersDirectorsBrandBrand Finance Alcoholic Beverages March 2017 7.Brand Finance Alcoholic Beverages March 2017 6.Brand Finance calculates the values of the brands in its league tables using the Royalty Relief approach. This approach involves estimating the likely future sales that are attributable to a brand and calculating a royalty rate that would be charged for the use of the brand, i.e. what the owner would have to pay for the use of the brandassuming it were not already owned. Brand strength expressed as a BSI score out of 100.BSI score applied to an appropriate sector royalty rate range.Royalty rate applied to forecast revenues to derive brand values.Post-tax brand revenues are discounted to a net present value (NPV) which equals the brand value.The steps in this process are as follows: 1 Calculate brand strength on a scale of 0 to 100 based on a number of attributes such as emotional connection, financial performance and sustainability, among others. This score is known as the Brand Strength Index, and is calculated using brand data from the BrandAsset Valuator database, the worlds largest database of brands, which measures brand equity, consideration and emotional imagery attributes to assess brand personality in a category agnostic manner.Strong brandWeak brandBrand strength index(BSI)BrandRoyalty rateBrand revenues Brand valueForecast revenuesBrand investmentBrand equityBrand performance2 Determine the royalty rate range for the respective brand sectors. This is done by reviewing comparable licensing agreements sourced from Brand Finances extensive database of license agreements and other online databases. 3 Calculate royalty rate. The brand strength score is applied to the royalty rate range to arrive at a royalty rate. For example, if the royalty rate range in a brands sector is 0-5% and a brand has a brand strength score of 80 out of 100, then an appropriate royalty rate for the use of this brand in the given sector will be 4%. 4 Determine brand specific revenues estimating a proportion of parent company revenues attributable to a specific brand. 5 Determine forecast brand specific revenues using a function of historic revenues, equity analyst forecasts and economic growth rates. 6 Apply the royalty rate to the forecast revenues to derive brand revenues. 7 Brand revenues are discounted post tax to a net present value which equals the brand value.League Table Valuation MethodologyMethodology Understand Your Brands Value $707$6,265$3,031$2,328 $1,913213 275 320 607 729 650 01002003004005006007008002011 2012 2013 2014 2015 201658%37%4%NutritionPerformance MaterialsOther ActivitiesBrand Value Dashboard$707mAA+78/100$10,216mPeer Group Comparison (USDm)Historic brand value performanceBrand Value by Product Segment7%Brand Value650mEnterprise Value9,399m(EUR)(EUR)(EURm)$882mBrand Value729m(EUR)XXXXXXA Brand Value Report provides a complete breakdown of the assumptions, data sources and calculations used to arrive at your brands value. Each report includes expert recommendations for growing brand value to drive business performance and offers a cost-effective way to gaining a better understanding of your position against competitors. It includes:Brand Valuation Summary+ Internal understanding of brand+ Brand value tracking+ Competitor benchmarking+ Historical brand valueBrand Strength Index+ Brand strength tracking+ Brand strength analysis+ Management KPIs+ Competitor benchmarkingRoyalty Rates+ Transfer pricing+ Licensing/ franchising negotiation+ International licensing+ Competitor benchmarkingCost of Capital+ Independent view of cost of capital for internal valuations and project appraisal exercisesTrademark Audit+ Highlight unprotected marks + Spot potential infringement+ Trademark registration strategyFor more information regarding our League Table Reports, please contact:Alex HaighDirector of League Tables, Brand Finance a.haighbrandfinanceDrivers of ChangeThree key areas impact Brand Value (EURm)Brand StrengthXXXs brand strength has increased compared to last year.As the brand continues its sustainability drive, XXX hasbeen improving across all CSR scores. It now has thehighest CSR scores it has had in the last four years acrossEnvironment, Employees and Governance.The premium approach is also leading to significant marginadvantages positively affecting “performance”.Business OutlookBrands drive higher revenues. An investor would thereforepay more for a brand that makes more money.XXXs revenue base and the 5 year forecast growth havefallen this year, resulting in a loss of $177m USD to totalbrand value.However, it is important to note that this has arisen as aresult of the company divesting a number of divisions.Economic OutlookAll future returns are subject to risk. If the risk of notreceiving the forecast returns is higher (increasing thediscount rate), the brands market is not growing as quicklyas expected (lower long term growth rate) or the tax rate inthe brands regions of operation is higher, then the brandsvalue is reduced and vice versa.2016 2015Discount Rate 9.1% 8.6%Long Term Growth 3.2% 2.6%Tax 28.9% 30.2%2016 20155 Year Forecast Growth2.6% 3.4%Base Year Revenue (EURm)8,205 9,570 2016 2015BrandStrength78 76729 729616 616 65018 131342015 Brand Strength Business Performance External Changes 2016Brand InvestmentProven inputs that drive the Brand Equity and financial resultsRelative quality of the brands investment in its products. The measure can include R&D spend and capital expenditure.Relative quality of a brands distribution network. It can include the quality of logistical infrastructure available to the brand, the quality of its online presence, or the number and quality of its retail outlets.Relative quality of the human network supporting the brand. This may include the size of the support network, its likely future growth or the investment in workforce training and human resources.Relative quality of the brands promotions. Marketing investment, the quality of visual identity and the effectiveness of the brands social media is covered by this measure.Product Place People PromotionBrand InvestmentBrand Strength Index6.25% 6.25% 6.25%Du Pont Multiple Akzo NobelEffective WeightingBest in Class6.25%XXX7.79.35.36.40.02.04.06.08.010.0DSM Best in Class Competitor AverageXXXBrand Strength Index 2016An ideal balanced scorecard of fundamental brand related measuresWidely recognised factors deployed by Marketers to create brand loyalty and market share. We therefore benchmark brands against relevant input measures by sector against each of these factors.How do stakeholders feel about the brand vs. competitors? Brand equity accounts for 50% to reflect the importance of stakeholder perceptions to behaviour Brand Equity is important to all stakeholder groups with customers being the most importantQuantitative market, market share and financial measures resulting from the strength of the brand.BSI AttributesProduct: R&D expenditure,Capital expenditurePlace: Website RankingPeople: Number of Employees,Employee Growth Promotion: Marketing expenditureFamiliarityConsiderationPreferenceSatisfactionRecommendation/NPSEmployee ScoreCredit RatingAnalyst RecommendationEnvironment ScoreCommunity ScoreGovernance ScoreRevenue% Margin% Forecast Margin% Forecast Revenue GrowthBrand Strength Index35%25%5%5%5%Effective Weighting25%Brand Investment25%BrandEquity50%BrandPerformance25%CustomerOutput