20191112_艾瑞咨询_轻舟已过万重山—2019年5G应用场景研究报告（35页）.pdf

20195G 22019.11 iResearch I 5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 5G ITU-R 5G eMBB Enhance Mobile Broadband uRLLC Ultra Reliable Low Latency Communications mMTC Massive Machine Type Communications 5G 5G 5G 3GPP 4G 5G NSA SA 5G SA 5G 2023 5G SMS3 5G 1 5G 2 5G 3 5G 442019.11 iResearch I5G 5G 2G 4G 4G 4G 5G 2G 3G 4G 5G1G/S100M/S1M/S 4/8K 52019.11 iResearch I5G R16 2020 5G 5G 3G 3GPP WCDMA TD-SCDMA 3GPP2 cdma 2000 4G 3GPP FDD-LTE TDD-LTE 5G 3GPP R15 R16 R15 R15 NR NSA R15 NR SA R15 late drop R15 late drop 3 R15 3 R16 3 2020 3 3GPP IEEE 5G 5G 5G 2017 2018 2019 20201G2G3G4G5G FDD-LTE TDD-LTE WCDMA TD-SCDMA cdma2000 GSM IS-95A IS-136 IMT-2020 AMPS CDPD NMTR15R16NSASALate dropR1612 6 3 3 62019.11 iResearch I5G 4G 5G ITU 5G 20Gbps 1Gbps 1ms 500km 5G 5G 11105(G/s)(G/s)(ms)(km/s)20500101060.114001100.10.15G 4G(4G)3x1x(4G)100 x0.1x1x72019.11 iResearch I5G 5G 5G BBU+RRU CU+DU+AAU BBU New Core MEC MEC,NFV SDN 5G 4G 5G BBURRU RRU EPCBBU RRU AAU 4G 5G 5GCMECCUDUAAU BBU CU BBU DU CUDUAAU82019.11 iResearch I5G C B 5G C B 5G C 112.2%ARPU C C 5G 12.7 20.6 41.9 93.8 246.0 711.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.7 4.4 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 20182013-2018 GB DOU(GB/)8,385.1 8,192.8 7,898.5 8,121.3 8,251.5 2014 2015 2016 2017 20182014-2018 122,911.3 128,609.3 130,573.8 132,193.4 141,748.8 156,610.0 90.8%94.5%92.5%95.6%102.0%112.2%2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 20182013-2018%92019.11 iResearch I 2019.11 iResearch I5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 4G 4 4G 9 10 5G 136 5G GSA GSA 1926333946563 4 5 6 7 8 2019 3-8 5G 5G 345268961061363 4 5 6 7 8 2019 3-8 5G 5G 10 5G 1 5G 2 5G 3 5G 4112019.11 iResearch I5G 3GPP NSA SA 5G 5G 3GPP NSA SA 5G 5G NSA 5G 4G EPC 4G 4G 5GC(5G)SA 4G 4G 5G 5GC SA 3GPP 8 5G 2017 Option2 Option3/3a/3x Option4/4a Option5 Option7/7a/7x 5 3GPP R15 NSA SA late drop 5G Option2 Option4/4a SA Option3/3a/3x Option5 Option7/7a/7x NSA 5G 5G 5GCNR5GCEPCLTENReLTENROption2Option5 Option3/3a/3x Option4/4a Option7/7a/7x5GCNReLTE5GCNAS 5G 4GeLTE122019.11 iResearch INSA Option3 Option3 4G 5G 5G Option3 NSA Option3 Option3a Option3x Option3 NSA Option3 4G 5G 4G 5G 4G 4G Option3 4G 5G 4G Option3 3 Option3 4G Option3a 4G Option3x 4G 5G Option3 Option3 5G 4G 5G Option3 EPCLTENREPCLTENREPCLTENROption3Option3aOption3xNAS 5G 4G132019.11 iResearch ISA Option2 Option2 4G 5G 5G 5G Option2 SA Option2 4G 5G 5G 5G Option2 5G 5G 5G Option2 5G 5G 5G 5G EPCLTESA 5G 4G 5GCNR5G:Option24G NAS 5G 4G 142019.11 iResearch INSA SASA 4G LTE NSA 5G NSA 4G 5G 4G SA 4G 5G 5G 5G 5G PDN 5G SA SA TTI D2D FLEX-E NP TM 5G PDN 152019.11 iResearch INSA SA NSA SA NSA SA 5G R15 R16 6 R15 NSA 2017 12 R15 SA 2018 6 2020 3 5G 5G 5G 5G V2X MIMO 5G R16 SA 5G R15 SA SA SA 5G NSA SA NSA 4G 5G SA NSA SA SA 5G 5G NSA SA NSA SA 5G NSA SA 4G 5G 5G 4G 5G 4G 5G 162019.11 iResearch I 5G 5G 2023 2019 6 6 5G 5G SA 5G SA 5G 7 2020 NSA SA NSA 5G SA R16 2020 3 4G 4 4G 5G 3 NSA SA SA 5G 2023 2019 5G.2020 SA SA NSA SA SA/2019 5+50+2019 4+4050 2019 4+50 17 5G 1 5G 2 5G 3 5G 4182019.11 iResearch IITU 5G 5G eMBB uRLLC mMTCITU-R 5G eMBB Enhance Mobile Broadband uRLLC Ultra Reliable Low Latency Communications mMTC Massive Machine Type Communications eMBB 4K/8K AR/VR 3D uRLLC mMTC NSA SA eMBB uRLLC R16 SA 5G eMBB uRLLC mMTC4K/8K/4K/8K/VR/AR 192019.11 iResearch I5G 5G 2020 NSA SA 5G 5G 5G NSA SA NSA NSA SA mate 30 NSA SA NSA 2020 5G NSA SA NSA NSA 2020 SA NSA SA NSA NSA 5G 5G 2020 NSA SA 5G IMT-2020 2019 7 5G LVY510Hello M70Balong5000SDM X50NSA SA NSA SA NSA SA NSA SA NSA SA NSA SA202019.11 iResearch I-4K/8K 5G 4K/8K 4K 8K 1080P 200 4K 800 8K 3300 16 4K 60/4K=*=3840*2160*10*3*60=1.74GB 4K 14Gbps H.265 4K 60-75Mbps 8K 135Mbps 5G 20Gbps 100Mbps-1Gbps 5G 4K 8K 6 43475 77.1%4K/8K 5G IMT-2020 1080P4K8K8K=7680*4320 1080P=1920*1080 4K=3840*2160 40738417844231242608431504347571.8%72.7%73.7%74.9%76.0%77.1%1 2 3 4 5 6 2019 H1%212019.11 iResearch I 5G+4K/8K 5G eMBB 5G 5G/5G 5G 5G IMT-2020 4.0 6.0 8.5 14.0 28.0 45%50%50%55%60%2014 2015 2016 2017 20182014-2018 EB/%5G 222019.11 iResearch I 5G+VR VR 5G VR 5G VR VR PC VR VR VR PC VR PC VR CPU/GPU VR VR VR VR VR VR VR VR VR 5G 4K/8K VR 20ms VR VR VR 20ms 4G 5G VR20ms VR VR 5G VR VR 5G VR VR+5G 232019.11 iResearch I 5G+5G 50 300 50 300 4G 4G 5G IMT-2020 9.29.6 9.59.2 9.17.57.17.3 7.35.350 100 150 200 300 4G Mbps Mbps 2 1120354700599100.0%100.0%80.0%79.5%83.9%0 25 50 75 100 4G 5G 242019.11 iResearch I 2019.11 iResearch I 5G+5G AGV AGV 4G 4G 5G 50Kbps-100Kbps 10ms-20ms 99.999%30Mbps-100Mbps 50ms-80ms 99.9%AGV5Mbps-20Mbps 50ms 99.9%4Mbps 200ms 90%77.0 78.5 81.1 86.5 92.2 2.0%3.4%6.7%6.6%2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2013-2018%5G 252019.11 iResearch I 5G+4G 5G 5G 5G 5G 2Mbps 10ms 99.999%10kbps-2Mbps 50ms 99.999%2Mbps 3s 1s 99.999%12Mbps-2Mbps 3s 99.9%4Mbps-10Mbps 200ms 99.9%4Mbps-10Mbps 200ms 99.9%20Mbps-100Mbps 200ms 99.9%5G 262019.11 iResearch I 5G+5G 5G 5G 5G 10ms 40Mbps 20ms 100Mbps 100Mbps5G 272019.11 iResearch I 5G+5G(Vehicle to Everything,V2X)V X C-V2X LTE-V2X 5G NR V2X LTE V2X 5G IMT-2020 50Mbps 10ms 99.99%1Gbps 3ms 99.999%1Gbps 3ms 99.999%25Mbps 20ms 99.999%5G 28 5G 1 5G 2 5G 3 5G 4292019.11 iResearch I5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 4G 5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 4G AR/VR 302019.11 iResearch I 5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 5G/VR/AR/AGV 312019.11 iResearch I5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 2.1.5G 5G 5G 4G 322019.11 iResearch I 5G 5G 6 5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 1 SA 2 5G 5G 5G 5G 5G 33 Keep Learning 400-026-2099 34