2015910_艾瑞咨询_艾瑞投资月报2015年9月（18页）.pdf

艾瑞投资月报 2015年9 月 艾瑞资产研究中心 9 8 8 7 8 11 08 08 A 40%艾瑞投资月报 2015年9 月 Wind 2-20%0%20%40%60%80%100%120%140%14/9/9 14/11/9 15/1/9 15/3/9 15/5/9 15/7/9 300 500 STOXX 50 225 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 PE 8 9 10 目 录 Contents 1.8 PMI 49.7 50 2012 8 PMI 47.3 0.5 50 2015 8 100 0.95%0.41 0.15%16 51 5 49 4 1.70%0.22%0.04%Wind PMI Wind 4 艾瑞投资月报 2015年9 月 35404550556065Jan-05 Jan-07 Jan-09 Jan-11 Jan-13 Jan-15 PMI PMI PMI-2-101234Jul-10 Jul-11 Jul-12 Jul-13 Jul-14 Jul-15%2015 1-7 1.3%1-6 1.4%1.0%1-6 0.3 7 2.9%6 0.3%1-7 57.4%5.7%15.2%8 CPI 7 1.65%1.80%PPI 7 5.4%CPI 3.2 PPP CPI Wind 7 Wind 5 艾瑞投资月报 2015年9 月-100102030Mar-12 Mar-13 Mar-14 Mar-15%-40-20020406080100-4-20246810Jan-05 Jan-07 Jan-09 Jan-11 Jan-13 Jan-15 CPI%CPI:2.8 11 7 845 6 95 8 Wind Wind 6 艾瑞投资月报 2015年9 月 5.956.006.056.106.156.206.256.306.356.40-1000-800-600-400-20002004006008001000Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 0123456714/8/1 14/10/1 14/12/1 15/2/1 15/4/1 15/6/1 15/8/1%3.2015 8 Markit 53.0 7 PMI 53.8 8 17,3 21.7 8 5.1%2008 4 5.2%7 559 2007 2 7 5.6%23.4 7 5.4%50.7 7 1.2%9 8 PMI 52.3 7 PMI 52.4 8 CPI 0.2%2%7 10.9%2012 8 PMI 51.7,51.2 World Bank,wind 7 艾瑞投资月报 2015年9 月 434547495153555759Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Jan-15 Jul-15 PMI 02468101214Jan-00 Jan-02 Jan-04 Jan-06 Jan-08 Jan-10 Jan-12 Jan-14%4.8 08 08 A 2015 PE 263.5 13.8%34.1%2015 613 28.2%31.8%164 33.6%43.5%IT 9 8 艾瑞投资月报 2015年9 月 5.A A 6 40%A A 9 2 0.96 2.26 1.3 60%A A 17 300 11.8 A A 17 300 11.8 IPO 8 361 9 A A A IPO 9 艾瑞投资月报 2015年9 月 A A 6 15 40%29 17 300 11.8 69 46.6 15-20 A 17 300 11.8 A A Wind 2015.9.7 A 17 Wind 2015.9.7 10 艾瑞投资月报 2015年9 月 69.28 46.57 24.42 17.01 13.10 11.81 020406080100120 A A 300 A 2014 18.0 16.3 18.3 15.0 8.6 12.0 16.5 0.05.010.015.020.00.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.5S&P 500 EUROSTOXX 50MSCI JapanQuality MixDow JonesIndustrialAverage 300 A PB PE Right A A A A 9 2 A 0.96 2.26 1.3 57.5%A 3%A 8 8 0.76 7 758 8 2.66 7 52 A Wind A Wind 11 艾瑞投资月报 2015年9 月 0100020003000400050006000-2000-1500-1000-500050014/7/1 14/10/1 15/1/1 15/4/1 15/7/1 300 VS 300-20000200040006000800010000Oct-14 Dec-14 Feb-15 Apr-15 Jun-15 Aug-15 8 28 2.58 7 3135 8 1600 7 3336 wind 2015 3.7 6 19 4.7 6 1 6 A 8 28 35 5 Wind Wind 12 艾瑞投资月报 2015年9 月-15000-10000-50000500010000150002000005000100001500020000250003000035000400004500012/4/6 13/4/6 14/4/6 15/4/6 VS 05010015020025014/7/4 14/9/4 14/11/4 15/1/4 15/3/4 15/5/4 15/7/4 9 A IPO A 8 A 769 7 836 A IPO 9 A 8 361 9 Wind IPO Wind 13 艾瑞投资月报 2015年9 月 050010001500200025003000Apr-14 Jul-14 Oct-14 Jan-15 Apr-15 Jul-15A-361.0-1000-5000500100015002000May-14 Aug-14 Nov-14 Feb-15 May-15 Aug-15 6.8 9 3.2 7.PE 2015 PE 263.5 2014 13.8%14 34.1%2015 613 28.2%31.8%164 33.6%43.5%IT 2015 IT PE 112 59 Wind 14 0 50 100 150/2015 艾瑞投资月报 2015年9 月 14014515015516016517014/9/2 14/11/2 15/1/2 15/3/2 15/5/2 15/7/2 15/9/2 8.8 9 8 31 8.9 15-20 8.9 Wind Wind 2015.9.2 15 艾瑞投资月报 2015年9 月 0.001.002.003.004.005.0014/1/2 14/4/2 14/7/2 14/10/2 15/1/2 15/4/2 15/7/2 10%510152025Jan-01 Jan-03 Jan-05 Jan-07 Jan-09 Jan-11 Jan-13 Jan-15 9.8 11 10.8 Wind 2014.1.1 2015.9.2 16 艾瑞投资月报 2015年9 月-4.11%-13.19%-18.45%-19.54%-21.77%-22.23%-22.35%-23.06%-24.75%-36.89%-50.52%-60%-40%-20%0%:Wind-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%15/1/1 15/3/1 15/5/1 15/7/1 15/9/1 IPE LME “”17 Legal Statement This Report is prepared and provided by iResearch Investment Research Center of Shanghai iResearch Assets Management Co.,Ltd.(hereinafter,the“Company”).Any of reading and use of this Report shall be deemed as an unconditionally acceptance of any and all content contained herein.In no event shall the information or opinion contained or expressed herein constitute an investment opinion to anyone.In no event shall the Company be liable for any loss resulted from,or in connection with,the reliance on any content contained herein by any person.Information,opinions,and speculations contained herein are of judgment of the Company on the date of its issuance only.The Company may,from time to time,issue any report of which the information,opinions,and speculations are inconsistent with those contained herein.The Company makes no guarantee,expressed or implied,on the accuracy,reliance,or integrality of content contained herein.There are risks in market and investment shall be made with cautiousness.The information,materials,and conclusions contained herein are for reference by specific clients only and,in no event,shall constitute investment recommendations,without considering special investment objectives,financial standing,or needs of individual clients.This Report is of confidential and shall be communicated to specific clients only.Without written consent of the Company,no distribution hereof shall be made.No part hereof may be copied,duplicated,or reproduced in whatsoever form,or distributed to any other person,or otherwise used against the copyright of the Company.All trademarks,service marks,and marks contained herein are trademarks,service marks,and marks of the Company.艾瑞投资月报 2015年9 月