2017-2018世界核能产业现状报告.pptx

,1,The World Nuclear Industry Status Report 20172017-2018世界核能产业现状报告,1960,1970,1980,1990,2000,2010,1965,1975,1985,1995,2005,2015 17,01954,- 10,20,WNISR2017 GENERAL OVERVIEW WORLD FLEET 概览全球现状 - 1Reactor Startups and Shutdowns in the Worldin Units, from 1954 to 1 July 201730,YearlyBalance,Reactor StartupsReactor Shutdowns,-10-20Sources: XX2,Beijing, 19 December 2017,3,1960,1970,1980,1990,2000,2010,1965,1975,1985,1995,2005,2015 17,0 1954,- 10,20,-10-20Sources: XX,in Units, from 1954 to 1 July 201730,Reactor Shutdowns,China,Rest of the World,Reactor Startups,All Countries (No Chinese in Total),WNISR2017 GENERAL OVERVIEW WORLD FLEET 概览全球现状 - 2Reactor Startups and Shutdowns in the World,Beijing, 19 December 2017,4,1960,1970,1980,1990,2000,2010,1965,1975,1985,1995,2005,2015 17,0 1954,- 10,-10-20,WNISR2017 GENERAL OVERVIEW WORLD FLEET 概览全球现状 - 3Reactor Startups and Shutdowns in the World,in Units, from 1954 to 1 July 20173020,Reactor StartupsWithout ChinaReactor ShutdownsAll Countries (No Chinese in Total),WNISR2017 GENERAL OVERVIEW Misleading Official Numbers 1Source: XX,Beijing, 19 December 2017,5,Beijing, 19 December 2017,6,WNISR2017 GENERAL OVERVIEW Misleading Official Numbers 2Source: XX,0,30025020015010050,605040302010,063 1965,1970,1975,1980,2005,2010,2015 17,Electricity Generation in TWh,Nuclear Capacity in GW,GenerationCapacity,- 1985 1990 1995 2000,WNISR2017 JAPAN FOCUS 聚焦日本Rise and Fall of the Japanese Nuclear Program - 1963 to July 2017,Beijing, 19 December 2017,7,Sources: XX,WNISR2017,GENERAL OVERVIEW Long-Term Outage (LTO)概览长期停运（LTO）,Beijing, 19 December 2017,8,WNISR Definition of LTO“A nuclear power reactor is considered in Long-Term Outage (LTO), if it has not generated any power in the entire previous calendar year and in the first semester of the current calendar year of the WNISR.”-WNISR关于LTO的定义“如果核反应堆在上一个日历年和本日历年上半年，没有生产任何电能，则该反应堆被视为长期停运。”As of 1 July 2017 33 reactors in Japan in LTO, shut down between 1995 and 2012. Only 5 operating*. 2 reactors in France in LTO (Bugey-5, Paluel-2) 1 reactor in India in LTO (Kakrapar-2) 1 reactor in Switzerland in LTO (Beznau-1) 1 reactor in Taiwan in LTO (Chinshan-1)*Note: Only 4 reactors operating in Japan as of 19 December 2017,1960,1954,1970,1980,1990,2000,2010,1965,1975,1985,1995,2005,2015 17,0,300200100,0,300200100,2002Maximum Numberof Reactors: 438,1989312 GWe420 Reactors,2006Maximum OperatingCapacity: 368.2 GWe,Nuclear Reactors and Net Operating Capacity in the Worldin Units and GWe, from 1954 to 1 July 2017,Reactors in Operation,Operating Capacity -,Units400,7/2017351 GWe403 ReactorsGWe400,WNISR2017 GENERAL OVERVIEW WORLD FLEET 概览全球现状,Beijing, 19 December 2017,Sources: XX,9,-,WNISR2017,2000,2005,2010,1995,2015,16,Nuclear Electricity Production in the World 1990-2016in TWh (net) and Share in Electricity Generation (gross),2006Maximum Electricity Production:2,660 TWh,01990,1 000500,1 500,TWh3 0002 5002 000,Share in %2016Electricity Production:2,476 TWhShare in Electricity 15Production: 10.5%10,5,0,1996Maximum Sharein Electricity Production: 17.5%Nuclear ShareNuclear Electricity Production,Sources:XX,GENERAL OVERVIEW ROLE OF NUCLEAR POWER概览核电角色,Beijing, 19 December 2017,10,Beijing, 19 December 2017,WNISR2017,TOP 20 NUCLEAR PRODUCTION / SHARE IN POWER MIX核电发电量前20名发电量比重,USA,Bulgaria11Brazil,Nuclear Production in 2015/2016 and Historic Maximumin TWh and Share In Electricity Production,FranceChinaRussiaS. KoreaCanadaGermanyUkraineUKSwedenSpainBelgiumIndiaTaiwanCzech Rep.FinlandSwitzerlandJapanS. AfricaHungary,0,100,200,300,400,500,600,700,800,TWh,France,GermanyS. Africa,0,10,20,30,40,50,60,70,80,Percentage,2005,SlovakiaUkraineBelgiumHungarySwedenSloveniaBulgariaSwitzerlandFinlandArmeniaS. KoreaCzech Rep.SpainUKUSARussiaRomaniaCanadaTaiwan,1989,1989,200320151986201419962005200219961986200919872013198919971995201520091994Sources:XX1988,2010,2005,2001,1994199720042001,1998,WNISR2017,48,39,44,22,15,6510,3,531,234,1960,1954,1970,1980,1990,2000,2010,1965,1975,1985,1995,2005,2015 17,0,50,186 - 10067,200150,Reactors Under Construction,in Units, from 1954 to 1 July 2017,Construction Statusas of 1 July 2017Construction Abandoned or SuspendedConstruction Completed or UnderwayConstruction Starts,GENERAL OVERVIEW CONSTRUCTIONS概览建造,Beijing, 19 December 2017,Sources: XX,12,WNISR2017,GENERAL OVERVIEW CONSTRUCTIONS概览建造,Beijing, 19 December 2017,13,Nuclear Reactors “Under Construction” (as of 1 July 2017)Sources: XX,Beijing, 19 December 2017,14,WNISR2017 CONSTRUCTION TIMES 建造时间Reactor Construction Times of 51 Units Started-up 20077/2017Sources: XX,WNISR2017,1960,1955,1970,1980,1990,2000,2010,1965,1975,1985,1995,2005,01951,10,8,12015 17,441232,- 2015,10,Construction Starts of Nuclear Reactors in the World,in Units, from 1951 to 1 July 20174030,Construction Statusas of 1 July 2017Under ConstructionConstruction CompletedConstruction Abandoned or Suspended,CONSTRUCTION STARTS AND CANCELATIONS建设项目的启动和取消,Beijing, 19 December 2017,Sources: XX,15,WNISR2017,CONSTRUCTION STARTS AND CANCELATIONS建造开始和取消,Beijing, 19 December 2017,16,1960,1955,1970,1980,1990,2000,1965,1975,1985,1995,2005,17,01951,10,30,8,2 22015,6,44,- 2015,52010,10,10,Construction Starts of Nuclear Reactors in the World,in Units, from 1951 to 1 July 2017,40China,Other Countries,Sources: XX,403 reactors,1120 Years,2130 Years,3140 Years,41 Years and More,Sources: XX,50,36,Age:,26,31,55,37,20,1120 Years2130 Years3140 Years,Reactor Age010 Years,41 Years and More20 Number of Reactorsby Age Class - Beijing, 19 December 2017,169 reactorsMean Age:25.2 years17,WNISR2017 OPERATING AGE 运行年龄Age of World Nuclear Fleetas of 1 July 2017as of 1 July 2017,- Age of Shut Down Reactors in the Worldas of 1 July 2017,50,8336,83,64 64,0 Age,Reactor AgeReactor10 Years010 Years1120 Years2130 Years3140 Years41 Years and More50 Number of of Reactorsby Age Class,170170403 reactorsMeanMean Age:29.3 yearsyears,29.3,ope,ion,WNISR2017,AGE DISTRIBUTION OF REACTOR FLEETS: Japan, China反应堆的年龄分布：日本，中国,18,5 in,rat,as of 1 July 2017,1,6,16,12,3,Reactor Age010 Years1120 Years2130 Years,3140 Years41 Years and More10 Number of Reactorsby Age Class -,38 reactors(33 in LTO)Mean Age:27.8 years,Age of Japanese Nuclear Fleet,7,3,1120 Years2130 Years,10 Number of Reactorsby Age Class - Sources: WNISR with XXBeijing, 19 December 2017,37 reactors,Mean Age:7 years,Age of Chinese Nuclear Fleetas of 1 July 201727Reactor Age010 Years,Beijing, 19 December 2017,19,WNISR2017 US FOCUS 聚焦美国Early Shutdowns of U.S. Reactors 20092025 Sources: XX,WNISR2017,NUCLEAR FINANCES JAPANESE COMPANIES核电财务日本公司,Toshiba (Japan) Share Price Development Since 2006,Share Price as of2 January 2006$ 6.15,Share Price as of3 July 2017$ 2.32,25 July 2007$ 9.8,2007,2006,2009,2010,2013,2016,2008,2011,2012,2014,2015,2017,-,0-50,Percentage50,Warns of multi-billion dollar charge27 December 2016,Second delay on resultsand control report15 March 17Fisrt postponement of FY16 results14 December 2016,Share Price as of3 July 2017 463,6 March 2011 2,12111 March 2011Fukushima,2007,2006,2009,2010,2013,2016,2008,2011,2012,2014,2015,2017,TEPCO (Japan) Share Price Development Since 2006Percentage,February 2007 4,130Share Priceas of January 2006 2,950 -,500-50-100,Beijing, 19 December 2017,20,Sources: XX,