2020-2021中国老龄化社会的潜藏价值研究报告.pptx

,1,2020-2021中国老龄化社会的潜藏价值研究报告,Oct. 2019,Jan. 2020,Mar. 2020,Sep. 2020,CHAPTER 1第一篇章CHAPTER 2第二篇章CHAPTER 3第三篇章CHAPTER 4第四篇章EPILOGUE番外,REVISITING SENIORS IN CHINA重新“遇见”中国的老龄化群体THE HIDDEN VALUE AND POWER潜藏的商业价值和影响力UNLOCKING THE SILVER ECONOMY银发经济的基本盘和新常态SHARING PERSPECTIVES FROM EXPERTS ACROSS INDUSTRIES各界共谈银发经济，探索解决方案PASSING ON THE WISDOM OF A GENERATION他们走过风雨，他们依然年轻,Dec. 2020,DISCOVERING THE “HIDDEN TREASURE” IN THE SENIOR MARKET我们发掘中国老龄化社会的潜藏价值,The Seniors in China: The “Hidden Treasure” Report Series is produced by Wavemaker,  containing 4 chapters and 1 epilogue. The chapters will be released one by one, giving a  holistic view of what urban seniors in China are like, why they are important and valuable,  and how brands can unlock potential and co-create solutions together. This is Chapter 4 of  the report series.蔚迈发布的中国老龄化社会的潜藏价值系列报告，共分为四个篇章和一篇番外，  将逐一发布，以全面详尽地分享我们对于中国城市老龄化群体的解析和主张，以及 与多个行业的企业共创的观点与解决方案。此为系列报告的第四篇章。,IN CHAPTER 1, RELEASED IN OCT. 2019第一篇章于2019年10月发布,IN CHAPTER 2, RELEASED IN JAN. 2020第二篇章于2020年1月发布,IN CHAPTER 3, RELEASED IN MAR. 2020第三篇章于2020年3月发布,TRUE DEPICTION OF SENIORS  IN CHINA中国老龄化群体的真实风采We segmented seniors in China into threedifferent generations and revealed theirobjections to being characterized as the “old”首次定义和划分了三个代际，揭示了他们他们不愿做传统定义“老人”的“倔强”,BOOMING SILVER ECONOMY & CORE  NEEDS BEHIND IT蓬勃的银发经济及其背后的核心需求We estimated the strong annual spending  power of senior citizens and elaborated on the  four core needs behind the silver economy预估了中国城市老龄化群体的超高消费力，解析了催生银发经济的四大核心需求,ESSENCE BEHIND NEEDS & BEHAVIOURS:SENIORS CORE & EVOLVED VALUES银发经济的关键：价值观基本盘和新常态We delved into seniors value system,  uncovering the unwavering core values as  well as the evolving new normal深入到老龄化群体的价值观，探究改变不了的基本盘，以及随时代演进的新常态,2020 is a meaningful year.The sudden epidemic has accelerated our journey to the new normal, and  instantly pushed digital technology and smart cities into real life  application.In 2020, the seniors have become new growth consumers, and the  opportunities of the silver economy are gradually emerging.The seniors will be the first generation to experience digital transformation,  leading to the rise of the silver economy, industrial cooperation and  prosperity.We are uncovering insights into the power of the silver economy as the  seniors look to create a promising future. This future will not only benefit  these seniors, but also the wider Chinese society.,CHAPTER 4 FOREWORD第四篇章 写在前面的话,2020，是意义非凡的一年。突如其来的疫情加速了新常态的发生，一瞬间使数字科技和智慧城市融入了生活。2020，也让银发群体成为了新增长性客群而受到关注，银发市场的机遇也逐渐拨云见日。我们沐浴在加速数字转型的环境中，将见证 在中国速度之下，银发经济的崛起，以及产 业的合作与共荣。我们正在一起推动着银发经济的发生，创造 着值得期许的未来。而这未来，不仅将使银 发群体受益，更是我们自己。,The silver economy is just about to rise:  Today we see senior consumers more as  passive, cared for and guided by others.  There is significant volume of unsatisfied  demand, leading to a serious imbalance  between supply and demand in the  market. Therefore, the silver market is  still in its infancy.,银发经济正要悄然崛起：今天我们看到的银发群体，更多做为 被关爱者，存在大量的需求不满足，  以及市场供需严重失衡的现象。银发 市场仍作为空白市场，才正要崛起。,THROUGH THIS CHAPTER, WE HOPE TO TELL YOU:我们希望透过这一篇章，告诉你：,Need to Rethink重新思考,Understand Now认识现在,The Future is Promising未来可期,We need to re-understand their needs:  We should get to know them again, to  redefine “old age” and “the seniors”, to  respect and understand their real needs.  Identifying these insights allows us to  understand how to effectively meet their  needs as we target them.,我们需要重新去理解需求：我们需要重新去认识他们，重新去认 识“老”这件事，去尊重和理解他们的 需求。并把他们纳入到目标客群中， 为他们创造更多的价值。,The future is created by us (all industries):  The future we are talking about is not a  distant future. In the Chinese economy,  driven by creativity and innovation, this  future is arriving fast. Although China is  entering the “fierce ageing stage”, by the  end of which seniors will account for 30% of  the population, the future is promising.,未来由我们(所有产业)一起共同创造：  今天，我们所谈论的未来，并不是遥不 可及的未来，而是在中国这样以创造力 和创新力为基础色调的经济体中，加速 发生的未来。虽然我们正要进入急速老 龄化阶段，但是，未来更可期。,从今年伊始至今，我们邀请了三十五家来自不 同行业的企业，一起探索银发产业的机遇，以 及我们可以做些什么。在此，我们由衷地感谢 参与内容共创的企业和个人：,WE NEED TO THANK:我们需要感谢：,Over the last few months, we have invited 35 companies from multiple  industries to discuss and explore the opportunities of the Silver Economy,  including actions we can take. We want to express our sincere gratitude to the  enterprises and individuals who shared their expertise in creating this chapter:,Roy Tu | 屠波 Brand VP, Shanzhen  善诊品牌副总裁,Nan Yang | 杨楠Vice secretary of Bethune  Charitable Foundation白求恩基金会副秘书长Echo Chen | 陈毅Head of Marketing, DingXiang丁香医生传媒业务负责人,Charles Robertson | 查百顺 LRF Chairman 董事Sabrina Li | 李爽LRF A. Senior Designer主任高级设计师,Jack Wang | 王吉庆Wavemaker Social Media Business Director群邑蔚迈社交媒体事业总监Jessy Ji| 季小心Wavemaker Business Director群邑蔚迈业务总监Qianyuan Han | 韩乾源 Strategic director of MI  小米战略规划部总监,Megan Zhang |张睿妍Megan Zhang, VP of Marketing and Store  Concept Design & Development, Skechers  斯凯奇市场部及店铺发展部副总裁Yucai Gong | 龚育才Chairman of Jiangsu Yunlin Group江苏耘林养老发展集团董事长Feng Chen | 陈峰Marketing Director , Yuwell Medical鱼跃医疗市场营销总监Thomas CaoMedical Service Director ofRaffles Hospital莱佛士医疗服务总监Jason Yu | 虞坚GM of Kantar Worldpanel Greater China凯度消费者指数大中华区总经理Tracy Ta | 拓慧 General Manager, BJ  传立北京总经理,Ryan Fan, Founder   Jing Wang, Founder & CKO, PANGJING  范怿，胖鲸创始人兼首席执行官；  王婧，胖鲸创始人兼首席知识官,WARC科沃斯Tao Li | 李涛 Founder, Age Freezer  冻龄日志创始人JD Data Research Institute京东数据研究院Jingjing Guo | 郭静静 Marketing Director, BeiGene  百济神州市场部总监Tao Zheng| 郑涛Marketing Director of National Retired Talent Bank离退休人才网市场总监Huankun Li|李焕琨VP of Guangzhou University for Elderly广州老年大学副校长Liang Chen | 陈亮Academic Director of Business School from East  China University of Science and Technology华东理工大学商学院学术主任,Marketing Director of SAICmobility享道出行市场总监,Anne Hsu | 许惠萍GCA Digital & Integrated MarketingLeader, Health Care Business Group, 3M3M医疗保健产品事业群，大中华区数 位及整合行销资深部门经理Bing Wu |吴冰CEO of SAIC Mobility 享道出行CEOMaggie Wang |王燕,1,OPPORTUNITIES THAT CANNOT BE MISSED,CHALLENGES THAT CANNOT BE IGNORED不可错失的机遇，不可无视的挑战,RE-DEFINE THE AGEING POPULATION,  UNDERSTAND THEIR REAL NEEDS重新定义银发族，理解真实的需求,INDUSTRYOPPORTUNITIES产业的机遇：,2,3,LETS BEGIN | 请随我们进入正文,TABLE OF CONTENT | 本章节目录,BEAUTY & FASHION美丽与时尚TRANSPORTATION & TRAVEL出行与旅游FINANCE SERVICE金融与财富LEARNING & VALUE-CREATING学习与发展HEALTH & WELLBEING医疗与健康LIVING & COMMUNITY居住与社区,7,OPPORTUNITIES THAT CANNOT BE MISSED,CHALLENGES THAT CANNOT BE IGNORED不可错失的机遇，不可无视的挑战,1,8,1949-1959,1962-1976,1986-1990,AS THE RESULT OF BABY BOOM AFTER 1949建国后生育高峰,快速老龄化,深度老龄化,CHINAS SOCIETY AGEING STAGES中国社会老龄化阶段,1999-2022RAPID AGEING,2036-2053DEEP AGEING,2022-2036FIERCE AGEING,急速老龄化,0,5,10,15,20,25,30,35,40,199019952000200520102015202020252030203520402045205020552060,1990-2060年60岁以上老年人占比（%）Proportion of people over 60 from 1990 to 2060,268M2.68亿18.5%,423 M,4.23亿,29.1%,487 M,4.87亿,34.8%,WITHIN THREE YEARS, CHINA WILL ENTER THE FIERCE AGEING STAGE2020年是关键的一年。三年内，我们将正式进入急速老龄化阶段,Around 2020, the number of people  over 60 in China will grow to 255  million, and will lead to the second  growth peak of elderly population.- China National Committee on Ageing,2020年前后我国60岁以上老年人 口将增长到2.55亿人，将迎来老年 人口第二个增长高峰。 全国老龄工作委员会,“,”,SENIORS IN CHINA WILL BECOME AN IMPORTANT PLAYER IN CHINA'S ECONOMIC,DEVELOPMENT而崛起较晚的中国的银发群体，将成为中国经济发展的重要参与者,50454035302520151050,19501955196019651970197519801985199019952000200520102015202020252030203520402045205020552060,the world and major countries世界及主要国家60岁以上人口占总人口的比例（%）,Egypt埃及  Japan日本,India印度Korea韩国 Sweden瑞典,World世界  China中国Australia澳大利亚UK英国,Russia俄罗斯Italy意大利,France法国,Germany德国,Canada加拿大,US美国,"After becoming the dominant group in society, the elderly  will influence social development according to their own  needs and become an important factor in advancing China's  social construction. Population ageing will have a profound  impact on consumption, industrial construction and capital  flows in economic development. “- Population Ageing Handbook,“老年群体成为社会主导性群体和 利益性群体以后，将按照自身需求 影响社会发展，成为推进中国社会 建设的重要因素。人口老龄化将在 经济发展中，对消费结构，产业结 构和资本流动带来深远影响”-人口老龄化国情教育知识读本,THE RISE OF SILVER POPULATION银发群体力量的崛起,Elderly people are changing just like  us. Now they have the courage to  live in the moment as well as the  mentality to accept new things.- Megan Zhang, VP of Marketing and Store  Concept Design & Development, Skechers老年人在不断变化。现在的他们 很有活在当下的勇气和接受新事 物的心态。-张睿妍,斯凯奇市场部及店铺发展部副总裁,CHINAS AGEING SOCIETY RISES SLOWER THAN OTHERS中国的老龄化进程晚于其他社会The proportion of people over 60 in the total population of,Elderlypeopletodayare,wealthy and free, and their,The elderly  are growth  consumers    with    high  repeatandpurchase  rates.  This  growth  isarebecause they are more focusedon quality of life.- Qianyuan Han,Strategy Director, MI老年人是具有高复购率的增 长群体，这种增长是因为他 们现在更注重生活了。- 韩乾源, 小米战略规划部总监,level of care, spending  decision-making power  gradually increasing.,-Tracy Ta, General Manager,Mindshare Beijing现在的老年人有钱有闲，他 们对自己的关爱程度，消费 力，决策力都在提高。- Tracy Ta, 传立北京总经理,“,BASKING IN CHINA'S OPPORTUNITIES, OUR SILVER ECONOMY ENJOYS,UNPARALLELED ADVANTAGES沐浴在中国机遇中，我们的银发经济，拥有其他国家难以比拟的后发优势,01POSITIVE AND  PROACTIVE POLICY  ENVIRONMENT积极先导的政策环境,02NEW     INFRASTRUCTURE  DIVIDEND新基建的红利专车,03GENERATION DIVIDEND  TO LONGEVITY  DIVIDEND从代际红利到长寿红利,LATECOMER ADVANTAGE OF CHINA'S SILVER ECONOMY - 01中国银发经济的后发优势 - 01,Positive and proactivepolicy environment积极先导的政策环境,01,“,12,”,入了低保救助，所有省份均建立了80周岁以上高龄老年人津贴制度。相关机构的发展和普及：截至2017年底，所有的省，95%的地（市）、86.8%的县（市、区）都设立了老龄工作委员会及办公室。,-人口老龄化国情教育知识读本,GRADUALLY IMPROVED NATIONAL STRATEGY：,"The 13th Five-Year Plan includes a special chapter on "actively responding to population ageing" in 2016, the theory of full life-  cycle health was included in the national strategy for the first time.,UNIVERSAL ACCESS TO SOCIAL WELFARE:By the end of May 2018, about 922 million people were covered by basic pension and 1.19 billion by basic medical insurance. All  elderly people in poverty have been provided with subsistence allowances, and all provinces have set up a subsidy system for  elderly people over the age of 80.THE DEVELOPMENT AND POPULARIZATION OF RELEVANT INSTITUTIONS:By the end of 2017, the committees and offices for ageing have been set up in 95% cities and 86.8% counties in all provinces.- Population Ageing Handbook顶层设计的逐步完善：“十三五”规划纲要设专章对“积极应对人口老龄化”进行部署；健康全生命周期理论在2016年，被首次写入国家战略。社会福利保障的普及：截至2018年5月底，基本养老保险参保人数达到约9.22亿人，基本医疗保险参保人数达到约11.9亿。贫困老年人全部纳,LATE-MOVER ADVANTAGE OF CHINA'S SILVER ECONOMY - 02 & 03中国银发经济的后发优势 - 02 & 03,China's infrastructure, technological development, industrial diversity, and talent provide the foundation  for diversity of business models and innovation. The development of 5G, smart technology, Internet and IoT  will spawn more products and services and promote greater industry co-prosperity.中国的基础设施、科技发展水平、产业多样性以及人才基础，提供了商业模式和创新的基础。5G、 智能科技以及互/物联网的发展，将催生出更多的产品与服务，推动更大规模的产业共荣。,在大量无收入的隐形“岗位”上，如农业、志愿者等，老年人的技能和智慧无疑是社会的一笔巨大财富。,另外在计划经济体制下，拥有奉献精神的他们，是,中国特有的“精神红利”。,In the large number of invisible “positions" without,income, such as agriculture, volunteers, etc., the,professional skills and wisdom of the elderly will,undoubtedly be the wealth of society. As devotees  growing up under the planned economic system, they  are China's unique "spiritual dividends".,New infrastructure,dividend新基建的红利专车,02,03Generation dividend tolongevity dividend从代际红利到长寿红利,13,“,”,中老年家庭在中国所有家庭里的占比，在2020年会占到22%。老年家庭以后会成为中国一种常见的家庭形态，,消费潜力是可以期待的。,- 虞坚，凯度消费者指数大中华区总经理,Middle-aged and elderly households will account for 22%,of all households in China in 2020. Older households will,become a common form of households in China, and the,consumption potential can be expected.,- Jason Yu, GM of Kantar Worldpanel Greater China,Travel旅行,Social interaction社交,Apparel & shoes时尚鞋服,Food & beverage食品饮料Household care日化家清,Tech & digital科技数码,Personal care &  cosmetics  个护美妆,Living养老居住,Finance & insurance金融保险,Employment（再）就业/志愿者,Study学习教育,Transportation出行,Medicalcare医疗护理,Sports运动健身,Nutrition &  supplements  营养保健产品,Mental  health  心理健康,Life in old age老龄生活,Healthcare健康管理,Spiritual life娱乐学习,Daily routines日常生活,Financial life就业与财务,CHINA'S UNIQUE INDUSTRIAL AND DEMOGRAPHIC DIVIDEND WILL FURTHERBOOST THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE SILVER ECONOMY中国特有的产业与人口红利，将进一步催生银发经济的发展老年产业  Ageing  Industry,涉老产业 Ageing Related  Industry,“,14,”,The consumption concept of the elderly  has been continuously upgraded.  Overall, the number of commodities  suitable for the elderly has grown at an  average annual growth rate of 39% in  the past three years. In 2019, the  number of elderly-appropriate products  on the market increased by 78%  compared to 2017, and the number of  brands nearly doubled.-Jingdong Data Research Institute,老年人的消费理念一直在不断的升级。 总体来看，近3年老年适用的商品数 量，以年均39%的增速增长。2019  年市场上的老年适用商品数比2017,年增长78%，品牌数的增长近1倍。- 京东数据研究院,CHINAS SILVER ECONOMY HAS GREAT GROWTH POTENTIAL因此，中国的银发经济具有“厚积薄发”的商业潜能,6.64 万 亿,Trillion,61,万亿Trillion,18,万亿Trillion,2019,2030,2050,Urban seniors' spending  power according to  Wavemaker's estimates根据Wavemaker的保守测算的城市老人消费力,Consumption of senior consumers in  China, measured by China Institute for  Reform and Development根据中国改革发展研究院测算的中国老年人口消费规模,15,DEVELOPMENT OF THE SILVER MARKET FACES THREE MAIN CHALLENGES然而，要发展银发经济，多方面挑战不容忽视,ECONOMIC,FOUNDATION,经济基础的挑战,INDUSTRY,DEVELOPMENT,产业发展的挑战,MARKET,CULTIVATION,市场耕耘的挑战,1,16,CHALLENGES | 挑战2,3,CHALLENGE 1:  ECONOMIC  FOUNDATION经济基础的挑战,CHALLENGE 2:  INDUSTRY  DEVELOPMENT产业发展的挑战,CHALLENGE 3:  MARKET  CULTIVATION市场耕耘的挑战,FIRST, CHINA IS THE WORLD'S SECOND LARGEST ECONOMY, BUT WITHUNBALANCED DEVELOPMENT,首先，中国已位居全球第二大经济体，但发展不均衡,THE PROGRESS OF CHINA'S ECONOMICDEVELOPMENT IS STEADILY MOVING FORWARD中国的经济发展仍正稳步推进,THE MAIN CHALLENGE: UNBALANCED DEVELOPMENT当下最主要的挑战是发展不均衡,The principal contradiction facingChinese society has evolved:What we now face is the  contradiction between unbalanced  and inadequate development and  the peoples ever-growing needs  for a better life.- Report of the 19th NationalCongress,China's economic  development enters  a new normal,75% of Chinese urban  residents have  confidence in quality life  improvement in 3 years.- Quality of Life in Chinaby Wavemaker,Achieve zero  poverty,Around 2028 China is  expected to become  the largest economy,in the world,The Human Development Index  (which assesses life expectancy,  education and decency of life),  which collectively reflects the level  of social development, is still  lagging behind. In 2015, the index  for mainland China was 0.738,  ranking 90th in the world.- Population Ageing Handbook,