新冠疫情如何影响世界经济.pdf

0 ( ) ) 2020 3 kpmg/cn 2 3 6 2.1 7 2.2 8 2.3 9 10 3.1 11 3.2 13 3.3 15 3.4 20 1 2 32 ( ) ) WHO 3 19 150 209,839 16,498 39 GDP WHO 3 9 - 18 A CPB 2019 2018 0.5% 2008 2020 5% 15% 3 ( ) ) 1 4 ( ) ) WHO 1 30 PHEIC 3 12 WHO pandemic WHO 3 19 150 209,839 16,498 1000 15 35,713 1 3 19 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 中国当日新增病例数 中国以外当日新增病例数 Wind WHO 2 3 19 WHO 5 ( ) ) GDP WHO 3 GDP 3 18 GDP 2018 Wind World Bank 中国 0 0 1 10 100 1,000 100 1000 10000 100000 1000000 每百万人累计确诊病例数( 对数） 人均GDP ( 对数)6 ( ) ) 2 ( ) ) 7 2.1 .2 1 3 19 30 3 15 5 14 16 3 13 3 13 4 15 3 10 4 3 ( ) ) 8 2.2 .2 +QE 2 3 19 3 3 16 50 100 0 0.25 7000 CPFF 2008 ESF 100 MMLF 3 16 50 0.75 1 3 16 ETF REITs 9 3 16 75 0.25 3 4 13 50 0.75 3 12 6 1200 3 11 50 0.25 3 19 0.1% 3 3 25 0.5 ( ) ) 9 2.3 .2 3 3 19 1 5000 5500 2000 3000 500 1000 2500 1473 ( 293 ) 834 165 594 117 45 9 100 27 100 370 10 80 250 3 5 75 300 70 50 NHS 180 120 4 IMF 3 12 IMF 50 1962 IMF 1 1 IMF 50 58 2020 3 13 finance.sina/stock/usstock/c/2020-03-13/doc-iimxxstf8580811.shtml10 ( ) ) 3 ( ) ) 11 3 9 500 1997 10 3 12 3 16 3 18 3 12 6 7% 15 10 IBOVESPA 15% 9.2% 10.5% 3 12 600 10% DAX CAC40 10% 100 10% 5000 / 24 37% 3.1 12 ( ) ) + 2008 08 2008 10 500 2011 13.5 2020 25 A 2020 2 A 13.6 2016 A A 2019 2.3% 0.6 GDP 2010 2019 6