20240512_国盛证券_煤炭开采行业23年报及24Q1总结:一次绕不开的压力测试_22页.pdf
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13.66 13.43 13.43 13.05 600188.SH 2.71 2.73 2.81 2.94 9.15 9.08 8.82 8.43 601666.SH 1.62 1.54 1.78 1.99 8.48 8.92 7.71 6.90 Wind-32%-16%0%16%32%2023-05 2023-09 2024-01 2024-05 300 2024 05 12 P.2 1.4 1.1.V.4 1.1.1.Q1.4 1.1.2.V.5 1.2.2022 23.6 1.3.7 2.23 23Q1.9 2.1.23.9 2.2.14 2.2.1.23Q1.14 2.2.2.15 2.3.23 24Q1.16 2.3.1.23 24 Q1.16 2.3.2.23 24Q1.18 2.3.3.19 2.4.19 3.21.21 1 2023/.4 2/.4 3 2022/.5 4 CCI/.5 5 2023 30 3.6 6 2023.6 7 2024 4 30 30 5.6 8 2024 2024 4 30.6 9%.7 10 2023.7 11 2023.7 12 2024 Q1.8 13 2024 Q1.8 14 2023.8 15 2023.8 16 2024 Q1.8 17 2024 Q1.8 18 2023 9.4%.9 19 2023 26.0%.9 20 2023.10 21 2023%.10 22 2023%.10 23 2023%.11 24 2023%.11 1ZEVyRnQnOmNpRoNtOoRnMaQ8QaQmOrRtRtPkPpPsPfQpOqMbRrRuNxNtRrNuOsQuN 2024 05 12 P.3 25 2023%.11 26 2023%.11 27 24Q1 14.7%.12 28 24Q1 35.4%.12 29 2024 Q1.12 30 2024 Q1%.13 31 2024 Q1%.13 32 24Q1%.13 33 24Q1%.13 34 24Q1%.13 35 24Q1%.13 36 2023 37.2%.14 37 2023 16.4%.14 38 2024 Q1 33.0%.14 39 2024 Q1 14.3%.14 40 2024 Q1.15 41%.16 42%.16 43%.16 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Q1+0.45pct+0.27pct+0.24pct+0.22pct+0.19pct-2.36pct-1.22pct-0.76pct-0.72pct-0.70pct 14 2023 15 2023 wind wind 16 2024 Q1 17 2024 Q1 wind wind 2024 05 12 P.9 2.23 23Q1 2.1.23&2022 2023 21 13342 9.4%1770.79 26.0%2023 1363 24.0%260 22.1%;73 29.0%75 53.8%18 2023 9.4%19 2023 26.0%wind wind 2024 05 12 P.10 20 2023 2023 2023 243.30-32.49%49.44 10.83%555.23-14.82%67.71-37.03%132.84-6.16%20.98-34.93%301.20-15.29%22.66 18.67%1500.25-33.31%201.40-39.62%285.18-18.63%51.79-26.26%94.03-20.60%7.32-66.62%109.78-13.11%9.69-44.30%373.71-19.45%42.60-38.53%77.86-7.24%20.36-19.43%733.87 6.26%62.25-11.21%228.41-12.16%10.90-41.10%153.42-4.60%33.01 8.27%37.27-1.23%-15.36-1112.13%3430.74-0.42%596.94-14.29%84.37-9.15%10.40-22.60%1708.72 2.41%212.39-39.67%315.61-12.44%40.03-30.25%431.37-20.55%79.22-44.11%1929.69-12.52%195.34 6.98%614.75 3.48%51.73-54.37%13341.60-9.36%1770.79-25.96%9910.86-12.09%1173.85-30.76%wind 21 2023%22 2023%wind wind 2024 05 12 P.11 23 2023%24 2023%wind wind 25 2023%26 2023%wind wind 24Q1 2024 21 3,137 14.7%4.7%395 35.4%27.5%2024 Q1 322 28.8%25%49 48.8%2.2%10.02 59.9%17%14 63%285%2024 05 12 P.12 27 24Q1 14.7%28 24Q1 35.4%wind wind 29 2024 Q1 2024 年 Q1 2024 年 Q1 53.33-32.71%34.20%7.08-73.83%-85.68%105.52-28.47%-28.83%9.50-61.53%-85.97%22.62-25.03%-38.53%1.35-82.55%-93.57%73.21 3.58%-10.07%4.67 11.41%-79.41%396.33-20.76%164.45%37.57-41.85%-81.35%61.58-26.51%-10.32%8.67-49.78%-83.25%19.49-31.91%9.24%0.21-93.92%-97.09%23.20-26.18%-6.46%3.03-63.76%-68.76%63.56-40.31%-24.98%5.83-65.81%-86.31%20.51-8.34%12.78%4.31-29.09%-78.82%173.22-8.80%-2.95%15.90-24.70%-74.46%53.72-14.21%-7.41%2.09-48.64%-80.79%36.58-1.53%-10.49%7.80 9.77%-76.36%5.22-37.07%-54.96%-0.90-396.77%-94.14%876.47 0.70%-3.27%158.84-14.66%-73.39%24.13 7.58%4.14%4.52 5.12%-56.55%404.49-9.73%-6.88%46.52-32.69%-78.10%82.44-4.47%-2.61%7.40-35.40%-81.50%86.59-27.19%-14.47%12.88-61.90%-83.74%453.95-23.27%23.49%49.70-30.55%-74.56%100.41-49.44%-15.67%8.07-73.15%-84.39%3136.57-14.74%4.71%395.05-35.37%-77.69%3112.44 10.82%4.71%390.53-8.14%-77.82%wind 2024 05 12 P.13 30 2024 Q1%31 2024 Q1%wind wind 32 24Q1%33 24Q1%wind wind 34 24Q1%35 24Q1%wind wind 2024 05 12 P.14 2.2.2.2.1.23Q1 2023 37.2%0.1pct 16.4%3.8pct ROE 15.6%2022 9.3pct 2024 33.0%2023 Q1 1.1pct 2023 Q4 4.8pct 14.3%2023 Q1 6.0pct 2023 Q4 4.3pct ROE 2.9%2023 Q1 2.7pct 2023 Q4 0.9%36 2023 37.2%37 2023 16.4%wind wind 38 2024 Q1 33.0%39 2024 Q1 14.3%wind wind 2024 05 12 P.15 40 2024 Q1 ROE 2024Q1 2024Q1 2024Q1 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2.2.2.2023 827.4 2.9%2023 103.1 11.3%570.8 4.9%153.6 19.8%2023 6.2%2022 0.4pct 0.8%4.3%0.6pct 1.2%0.1pct 2024 Q1 185 3.6%20.5 19.7%25.8%129.5 9.2%28.8%35.1 1.5%16.2%5.9%2023 Q1 1.0pct 2023 Q4 2.5pct 0.7%0.3pct 4.1%0.9pct 1.9pct 1.1%0.2pct 0.3pct 2024 05 12 P.16 41%42%wind wind 43%44%wind wind 2.3.23 24Q1 2.3.1.23 24 Q1 2023 20 11.7 7.5%15.0 7.8%19 8.4 9.1%10.5 7.8%2024 Q1 11 2.3 3.0%3.2 2.2%10 1.5 3.9%2.5%2.0 1.3%2024 05 12 P.17 45 2023 2023 2023 32450 3.50%45000 7.70%16372 4.10%25322 12.60%13422 12.60%28494 8.40%13211 0.61%12702-6.21%6046 6.30%5498 3.90%4591 1.50%4100-11.68%4608 5.09%3200-0.53%3898-3.92%5251-3.00%3469 5.75%3010 10.21%3071 14.00%3103 0.40%2741 3.97%2604-9.96%2197-4.06%1783-5.27%2231 9.13%3099 16.07%1530 1.49%1153-9.61%1706 14.50%1705 14.52%1380 20.46%1299 11.65%1297 17.58%1299 17.98%944 1.07%762 8.19%922 5.23%414 2.42%803-2.00%605-8.00%116889 7.48%150403 7.77%84439 9.08%105403 7.80%46 2024 Q1 2024Q1 2024Q1 8130 1.50%11710 8.80%4145 1.49%6147 9.16%3273-1.70%6387-14.60%3464 15.43%3418 7.11%1324-0.10%1181-0.07%850-0.27%828-0.23%845-1.00%695-1.00%589-12.96%902 1.97%203-35.72%190-45.67%240 0.49%237-1.79%227 8.60%23290 3.06%31695 2.20%15160 3.91%19985-1.32%24Q1 2024 05 12 P.18 2.3.2.23 24Q1 2023 2023 649/17.2%2023 411/7%2023 237.6/32%47 2023/2023 2023 2023 1635-13.2%846-7.1%789-18.9%1168-13.0%761 15.6%407-40.6%1097-13.7%452 6.4%645-23.8%956-23.1%480-1.6%476-37.0%803-33.8%388-20.1%415-42.9%1160 0.0%592 0.8%567-0.8%992-11.4%529-3.7%567-0.4%993-11.2%677-6.5%316-19.8%743-25.7%410-36.0%334-7.5%739-21.8%385 41.2%354-47.4%728-21.8%348-3.2%380-33.4%782-13.6%564 3.8%218-39.9%683-19.9%281-39.7%402 4.4%538-25.9%429-20.9%110-40.4%606-14.6%296-19.0%310-10.0%596-13.1%419 31.5%177-51.9%607-8.5%413-3.1%195-18.3%496-17.3%244-11.7%252-22.0%449-22.0%187-18.7%262-24.1%475-16.6%310-2.4%165-34.6%2024 Q1 2024 Q1 614/16.9%2024 Q1 424/8.5%2024 Q1 193/31.3%2024 05 12 P.19 48 2024 Q1/2024Q1 2024Q1 2024Q1 727-36.10%445-27.44%282-46.25%689-20.71%378 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