20151013_艾瑞咨询_艾瑞投资月报2015年10月（18页）.pdf
艾瑞投资月报 2015年10月 艾瑞资产研究中心 10 08 0.5%07 08 1.23 DAX 1.1 225 1.08 4.0%1.8%4.6%2.1%0.3%0.6%9 10 QE 9 10 QE A 4 16 8.5 艾瑞投资月报 2015年10月 Wind 2-20%0%20%40%60%80%100%120%140%14/10/8 14/12/8 15/2/8 15/4/8 15/6/8 15/8/8 300 500 STOXX 50 225 1 2 3 10 4 5 6 7 PE 8 9 9 10 目 录 Contents 1.9 PMI 49.8 50 PMI 47.2 0.1 50 9 53.4 2015 9 100 0.28%0.67 1.36%59 8 41 8 1.01%0.17%0.29%9 9 Wind PMI Wind 4 艾瑞投资月报 2015年10月 354045505560Jan-05 Jan-07 Jan-09 Jan-11 Jan-13 Jan-15 PMI PMI PMI-2.00-1.000.001.002.003.004.00Jul-10 Jul-11 Jul-12 Jul-13 Jul-14 Jul-15%2015 1-8 1.3%1.9%1-7 0.9 8 8.8%5.9 1-8 50.47%4.5%13.1%9 9 CPI 1.80%8 1.96%9 PPI-0.4%-5.9%3.2 PPP 9 CPI 8 Wind 8 Wind 5 艾瑞投资月报 2015年10月-40.00-20.000.0020.0040.0060.0080.00100.00-4.00-2.000.002.004.006.008.0010.00Jan-05 Jan-07 Jan-09 Jan-11 Jan-13 Jan-15 CPI%CPI CPI-20-100102030Mar-12 Sep-12 Mar-13 Sep-13 Mar-14 Sep-14 Mar-15%2.9 9 8 1702 7 857 8 11 8 9 18 9 10 12 Wind Wind 6 艾瑞投资月报 2015年10月 0.001.002.003.004.005.006.007.0014/8/1 14/10/1 14/12/1 15/2/1 15/4/1 15/6/1 15/8/1%5.956.006.056.106.156.206.256.306.356.40-2,000-1,500-1,000-50005001,000Jan-12 Oct-12 Jul-13 Apr-14 Jan-15 3.10 2015 9 Markit 53.1 8 PMI 53.0 9 14.2 20.1 9 5.1%8 552 2008 2 8 4.7%22.9 8 5.75%55.2 8 1.8%10 9 PMI 52.0 8 PMI 52.3 9 CPI 0.1%2%8 11.0%2012 3 9 PMI 50.9,51.7 PMI World Bank,wind 7 艾瑞投资月报 2015年10月 43.045.047.049.051.053.055.057.059.0Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Jan-15 Jul-15 PMI 0.02.04.06.08.010.012.014.0Jan-00 Jan-02 Jan-04 Jan-06 Jan-08 Jan-10 Jan-12 Jan-14%4.9 18 FOMC 0-0.25%9 A 2015 PE 263.5 13.8%34.1%2015 613 28.2%31.8%164 33.6%43.5%IT 9 10 8 艾瑞投资月报 2015年10月 5.A A 6 40%A A 10 8 0.92 2.26 1.34 60%A A 16.2 300 11.2 A A 16.2 300 11.2 IPO 9 378 10 A A A IPO 9 艾瑞投资月报 2015年10月 A A 6 15 40%29 16 300 11.2 71.7 41.0 15-20 A 16 300 11.2 A A Wind 2015.10.8 A 16 Wind 2015.10.8 10 艾瑞投资月报 2015年10月 71.65 41.02 20.47 16.20 12.61 11.23 01020304050607080 A A 300 A 2014 18.37 15.52 15.98 15.4 8.92 11.23 16.2 0.05.010.015.020.00.00.51.01.52.02.53.03.5S&P 500 EUROSTOXX 50MSCI JapanQuality MixDow JonesIndustrialAverage 300 A PB PE Right A A A 10 8 A 0.92 2.26 1.3 59.3%A 2.6%A 9 9 0.74 8 234 8 2.67 8 139 A Wind A Wind 11 艾瑞投资月报 2015年10月 01,0002,0003,0004,0005,0006,000-2000-1500-1000-500050014/7/1 14/10/1 15/1/1 15/4/1 15/7/1 300 VS 300-20000200040006000800010000Nov-14 Jan-15 Mar-15 May-15 Jul-15 Sep-15 9 30 1.98 8 5951 9 6796 8 1600 wind 2015 3.0 6 19 4.7 6 1.7 6 A 9 30 14 8 8 Wind Wind 12 艾瑞投资月报 2015年10月-15000-10000-50000500010000150002000005000100001500020000250003000035000400004500012/4/6 13/4/6 14/4/6 15/4/6 VS 05010015020025014/7/4 14/10/4 15/1/4 15/4/4 15/7/4 10 A IPO A 9 A 847 8 799 A IPO 10 A 9 378 10 Wind IPO Wind 13 艾瑞投资月报 2015年10月 050010001500200025003000Apr-14 Jul-14 Oct-14 Jan-15 Apr-15 Jul-15A 1454.1 1063.8-478.6-378.3-1000.0-500.00.0500.01000.01500.02000.0May-14 Aug-14 Nov-14 Feb-15 May-15 Aug-15 6.9 7.PE 2015 PE 263.5 2014 13.8%14 34.1%2015 613 28.2%31.8%164 33.6%43.5%IT 2015 IT PE 112 59 Wind 14 0 50 100 150/2015 艾瑞投资月报 2015年10月 140.0145.0150.0155.0160.0165.0170.014/9/1 14/11/1 15/1/1 15/3/1 15/5/1 15/7/1 15/9/1 8.9 9 STOXX 50 4.3%225 8.0%300 4.9%500 2.6%9 30 8.5 15-20 8.5 Wind Wind 2015.9.2 15 艾瑞投资月报 2015年10月 5791113151719212325Jan-01 Jan-03 Jan-05 Jan-07 Jan-09 Jan-11 Jan-13 Jan-15 0.01.02.03.04.05.014/1/2 14/5/2 14/9/2 15/1/2 15/5/2 15/9/2 10%9.2014 5 8 11 9 10.Wind 2014.1.1 2015.10.6 16 艾瑞投资月报 2015年10月 Wind-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%15-01 15-03 15-05 15-07 15-09 IPE LME-4.82%-13.10%-17.44%-18.07%-20.00%-21.49%-22.51%-24.97%-26.42%-37.84%-49.48%-60%-50%-40%-30%-20%-10%0%:“”17 Legal Statement This Report is prepared and provided by iResearch Investment Research Center of Shanghai iResearch Assets Management Co.,Ltd.(hereinafter,the“Company”).Any of reading and use of this Report shall be deemed as an unconditionally acceptance of any and all content contained herein.In no event shall the information or opinion contained or expressed herein constitute an investment opinion to anyone.In no event shall the Company be liable for any loss resulted from,or in connection with,the reliance on any content contained herein by any person.Information,opinions,and speculations contained herein are of judgment of the Company on the date of its issuance only.The Company may,from time to time,issue any report of which the information,opinions,and speculations are inconsistent with those contained herein.The Company makes no guarantee,expressed or implied,on the accuracy,reliance,or integrality of content contained herein.There are risks in market and investment shall be made with cautiousness.The information,materials,and conclusions contained herein are for reference by specific clients only and,in no event,shall constitute investment recommendations,without considering special investment objectives,financial standing,or needs of individual clients.This Report is of confidential and shall be communicated to specific clients only.Without written consent of the Company,no distribution hereof shall be made.No part hereof may be copied,duplicated,or reproduced in whatsoever form,or distributed to any other person,or otherwise used against the copyright of the Company.All trademarks,service marks,and marks contained herein are trademarks,service marks,and marks of the Company.艾瑞投资月报 2015年10月
