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20231109_海通证券_煤炭行业专题报告：业绩韧性显现低估值高分红价值凸显_20页.pdf

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20231109_海通证券_煤炭行业专题报告：业绩韧性显现低估值高分红价值凸显_20页.pdf

Table_MainInfo/2023 11 09 Table_InvestInfo Table_QuoteInfo-17.05%-10.31%-3.57%3.17%9.91%16.65%2022/11 2023/2 2023/5 2023/8 Table_ReportInfo 2023.11.05-23Q3 2023.11.02-20231031 2023.10.31 Table_AuthorInfo:Tel:(010)58067998 Email:S0850517120001:Tel:(021)23185633 Email:S0850520090001:Tel:(021)23183818 Email:S0850515120001:Tel:(021)23185628 Email:Table_Summary 23-27%-29%23Q3-19/145/2023 9-26.5%6-3.2pct+88.8%2023 168/11/69/-29%Q3 145/23Q2 19/11%76/-34%23-27%23Q3 1.6%35 2023/-8.6%/-4%31%-3.3pct 2023 1544-26.8%1061-30%Q3/-0.9%/-1.2%445-1.6%295-3.5%15 4.56 2023 9 4.56 2022 9 1654 2023 6 562 2015 2023 9 59.97%2022 9 0.38pct ROE 2023 ROE 12.2%22-4.2pct 2023 9 923 258 23 2023 1230 2022 26 23Q4 23 710/1000/23 2200/1 2 3 4 2 1.23-27%Q3-19/145/.5 2.2023 35 Q3 605-31.4%.6 2.1 23Q3 445-1.6%.6 2.2.9 2.3 Q3.11 2.4 23.13 3.14 4.17 5.19 YWFUwPsPsRoPrPpMtOsNmNaQcM8OpNrRtRtQkPnMnMlOpOmM8OnNwPNZmQpRvPoNoM 3 1 2023 9 42%.5 2 2023 9 168/.5 3 35.6 4 35.10 5.11 6 35.12 7 35.12 8 2022 5500/.15 9.15 10.15 11.16 12.16 13 2022/.16 4 1/.5 2 2023Q1-3 Q3.6 3 2023 35.7 4 2023 35.8 5 35 ROE.9 6 2023 35.10 7 35.13 8 35.14 9.17 10 35 2020-2023Q1-3.18 5 1.23-27%Q3-19/145/23Q3 23Q2 2023 9 4914 2022 9 326 2023 6 24 2053 2022 9 729 2023 6 31 42%2022 9+12.9pct 2023 6-0.8pct 23-27%-29%23Q3 23Q2 2023 9-26.5%6-3.2pct+88.8%2023 9 168/6 11/69/-29%Q3 145/23Q3 19/76/1 2023 9 42%wind 2 2023 9 168/wind 23Q1-3 23Q3 23Q1-3/-12.0%/-21.2%/-11.8%/-27.2%23Q3/-22.2%/-16.2%/-24.0%/-23.3%Q2/+0.4%/+7.5%/-3.9%/-2.7%1/23Q1-3 23Q3 23H1 2022 715-0.8%701-2.2%-2.5%722 722 5500 970-20.0%865-5.7%-31.6%1023 1268 5000 731-10.2%667-0.1%-21.8%763 858 6000 1362-14.9%1249 1.0%-28.1%1418 1677 5500 868-11.9%807 5.3%-23.6%899 1047 6000 825-14.4%757 4.0%-25.8%859 1011 2193-24.9%2127 9.9%-17.9%2225 2844 1926-23.4%1868 15.7%-13.8%1955 2461 2 2064-26.5%1994 13.0%-17.4%2099 2726 2164-3.0%2103-2.4%-2.1%2194 2250 2205-23.9%2064 5.2%-21.2%2275 2829 2122-24.1%2005 6.3%-15.4%2180 2728 1356-22.8%1211 4.6%-25.5%1429 1798 6500 1552-12.5%1299-4.9%-26.6%1678 1816 7000 1542-10.9%1285-6.9%-25.8%1670 1775 5500 1244-12.2%1092 0.2%-19.6%1320 1444 2207-27.2%2003-2.7%-23.3%2309 2910 Wind 6 2.2023 35 Q3 605-31.4%2.1 23Q3 445-1.6%35 2023/-8.6%/-4%31%-3.3pct 2023 1544-26.8%1061-30%23Q3-0.9%-1.2%+0.3pct 445-1.6%295-3.5%/-26.2%/-20.8%/-31.5%/-67.2%Q3 2.1%/-18.7%/1.0%/56.3%2 2023Q1-3 Q3 2023Q1-3 23Q3 2023Q1-3 23Q3 2023Q1-3 23Q3 8045-5.8%2590-1.6%5388 0.1%1740-3.3%1158-26.2%350 2.1%2257-13.2%726 0.9%1529-10.9%516 5.7%305-20.8%72-18.7%382-12.3%127-3.0%263-2.3%86-7.1%59-31.5%18 1.0%790-19.7%260 3.1%743-16.1%245 2.6%22-67.2%5 56.3%11475-8.6%3702-0.9%7922-4.0%2587-1.2%1544-26.8%445-1.6%Wind 3 35 Wind 35 3 9%5 14%3 2 5 14%7 3 2023 35%23Q1-3 23Q1-3 23Q1-3 23Q1-3 23Q1-3 002128.SZ 197-0.7%132-0.2%35.8 10.0%34.8 9.4%33.0-0.4 601225.SH 1274-2.5%799 3.4%161.8-42.8%190.0-15.7%37.3-3.6 601918.SH 97 8.8%58 16.8%19.2 4.3%19.0 5.4%40.5-4.1 601088.SH 2525 0.8%1637 9.0%482.7-18.4%478.1-18.1%35.1-4.9 601001.SH 113-12.0%60 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0.6%9.0-16.9%9.1-17.5%31.5-2.4 600508.SH 26-3.4%22 14.5%1.5-56.7%1.4-57.7%16.1-13.1 600985.SH 182-0.4%150-0.6%14.7-0.4%14.5 6.2%18.0 0.2 600397.SH 16 3.1%16 5.0%-0.4-0.4 4.6-1.8 600157.SH 80 15.7%58 24.1%6.1 2.9%6.1 4.8%26.9-5.0 600758.SH 10 1.7%11 22.4%-1.9-2.1-0.7-17.0 726 0.9%516 5.7%72-18.7%72-18.0%28.9-3.2 600123.SH 31-9.2%17-18.7%4.4-25.8%4.4-21.9%44.2 6.6 000933.SZ 95-0.8%69-3.6%13.6 14.3%13.1 8.7%27.6 2.1 1427 0.1%1032 4.0%136-19.3%134-18.9%27.7-2.7 600997.SH 51-10.3%44-9.2%2.1-45.3%2.0-44.9%14.6-0.9 600408.SH 25-1.7%26-1.1%-1.6 9.8%-1.7 11.5%-3.0-0.6 600740.SH 21 3.6%22-6.2%3.6 137.4%3.6 140.6%-5.3 11.0 603113.SH 37-2.0%35-4.5%0.7-14.2%0.5 253.2%5.2 2.5 000723.SZ 51 15.9%45 12.3%0.3-212.6%0.3-178.2%11.6 2.8 601015.SH 48 15.8%47 17.9%-2.0 66.7%-2.1 80.0%1.7-1.8 601011.SH 9 5.9%9 27.6%-0.8-405.2%-0.8-409.9%-0.4-17.1 600792.SH 18 0.7%18 1.0%2.7-0.3 3.1-0.3 1813 0.3%1363 3.0%159-16.1%153-17.3%24.8-2.0 Wind ROE 2022 ROE 18.6%2021 2.2pct 2023 ROE 12.2%22-4.2pct 2016 2022 164.1 16%2023 146.8 2022-11%9 5 35 ROE ROE(%)2020 2021 2022 23Q1-3 2020 2021 2022 23Q1-3 002128.SZ 12.3 18.7 18.2 13.4 10.5 16.1 18.6 39.6 601225.SH 23.2 27.2 37.4 17.1 239.3 539.7 473.9 325.1 601918.SH 13.0 29.8 19.8 15.5 4.7 17.0 14.1 17.0 601088.SH 11.0 13.6 18.1 12.2 1274.6 1628.9 1705.0 1477.1 601001.SH 12.8 48.6 23.0 14.1 92.3 163.9 188.2 154.7 000552.SZ 5.6 8.6 29.6 11.5 53.1 46.4 75.7 60.3 600403.SH-15.2 19.0 20.4 2.6 42.5 50.2 55.1 49.6 601898.SH 6.0 12.4 14.9 12.2 359.5 729.2 910.3 896.4 600546.SH 9.4 47.3 52.0 26.0 53.0 119.2 102.6 77.1 600121.SH-41.4-12.7 4.2-6.1 38.1 30.7 38.2 30.9 600188.SH 12.1 26.6 37.8 19.6 245.4 455.7 451.8 330.6 600575.SH 5.0 4.5 3.5 5.3 14.0 20.3 25.2 26.4 600348.SH 6.5 15.7 29.4 15.7 85.3 160.7 174.3 162.1 601101.SH 0.7 23.3 13.4 9.3 15.0 40.3 54.6 56.9 4.3 20.2 23.0 12.0 180.5 287.0 306.2 264.6 600971.SH 8.6 14.5 23.1 13.6 55.1 62.4 74.4 64.4 601699.SH 7.4 21.7 34.0 14.9 165.8 164.4 310.9 282.8 600395.SH 12.0 16.8 23.8 6.6 15.2 17.8 45.7 38.5 000983.SZ 10.0 20.2 38.6 16.1 49.9 68.8 175.9 180.3 000937.SZ 3.9 13.6 21.3 18.3 147.3 121.4 107.1 108.6 601666.SH 9.3 18.0 29.7 13.5 76.6 89.0 140.8 159.5 600508.SH 6.6 3.6 15.4 10.5 6.0 10.2 31.9 30.6 600985.SH 17.2 19.7 23.1 14.4 31.4 51.9 84.5 64.0 600397.SH-30.1 8.5-12.2 1.7 11.1 12.2 12.5 12.0 600157.SH 13.7 2.5 4.4 3.6 17.1 17.3 21.9 17.3 600758.SH-9.0 0.5 3.8 1.2 27.8 26.9 28.9 22.9 4.5 12.7 18.6 10.4 54.8 58.4 94.0 89.2 600123.SH 3.5 19.8 22.6 11.3 17.9 27.0 53.6 66.8 000933.SZ 4.9 39.6 59.6 24.2 141.5 105.1 179.1 179.9 4.2 29.7 41.1 17.7 79.7 66.1 116.4 123.3 600997.SH 9.2 14.2 13.4 7.0 72.5 90.3 74.7 86.9 600408.SH 14.8 10.6-11.1-19.0 5.4 6.1 1.3 1.0 600740.SH 10.3 10.8 19.4 8.6 42.6 23.9 18.8 11.4 603113.SH 12.7 11.1 2.9 0.1 3.2 9.5 17.1 18.8 000723.SZ 7.8 22.9 16.4 2.8 27.7 14.9 48.2 58.7 601015.SH 4.9 21.5 3.2-3.2 19.9 18.3 20.3 23.4 601011.SH 0.9 2.4 2.2-0.3 1.6 2.3 2.0 2.1 600792.SH 1.7-0.9-5.5 7.1 5.1 5.3 8.2 4.8 7.8 11.6 5.1 0.4 22.2 21.3 23.8 25.9 Wind 2.2 2023 35+1.03pct+0.08pct+0.03pct 10 6 2023 35%，pct%，pct%，pct 23Q1-3 23H1 2022 23Q1-3 23H1 2022 23Q1-3 23H1 2022 002128.SZ 0.21 0.02 0.21 0.21 2.44 0.47 2.28 2.99 0.76-0.46 0.69 1.15 601225.SH 0.54 0.08 0.48 0.50 4.56 0.29 4.17 4.61-0.31 0.11-0.33-0.36 601918.SH 0.39-0.12 0.38 0.50 4.76-0.91 4.26 6.58 4.23-1.36 4.50 5.37 601088.SH 0.12-0.06 0.12 0.12 3.28-0.06 3.13 3.96 0.11 0.15-0.09 0.25 601001.SH 0.70-0.08 0.70 0.90 4.21 2.23 4.83 3.32 1.00-0.87 1.37 1.50 000552.SZ 0.91 0.04 0.90 0.78 9.15 1.59 8.36 9.35 1.83 1.50 1.92 1.91 600403.SH 1.85 0.61 1.71 1.21 18.65 7.18 15.52 10.92 4.58 0.53 4.58 2.57 601898.SH 0.45 0.06 0.42 0.42 2.51 0.50 2.32 2.73 1.47-0.20 1.44 1.69 600546.SH 1.38 0.08 1.32 1.20 4.49 1.30 4.06 4.17 0.62-0.37 0.50 1.01 600121.SH 1.70 0.12 1.60 1.52 15.43 2.99 12.08 12.22 4.81-0.02 4.73 4.25 600188.SH 2.75-0.05 2.92 3.16 5.25 1.91 3.86 4.34 1.94 0.35 1.48 2.52 600575.SH 0.18 0.03 0.17 0.18 2.36 0.54 2.49 2.39 0.51-0.08 0.52 0.59 600348.SH 0.48 0.04 0.43 0.33 5.84 2.22 4.90 4.53 1.25 0.02 1.24 1.42 601101.SH 1.77 0.28 1.93 1.52 7.53 3.25 6.52 6.09 4.18 0.61 4.02 3.58.96 0.08 0.95 0.90 6.46 1.68 5.63 5.59 1.93-0.01 1.90 1.96 600971.SH 0.84 0.13 0.76 0.63 13.68 0.62 13.65 12.66 0.51 0.07 0.49 0.06 601699.SH 0.41 0.17 0.24 0.34 9.33 2.23 8.64 8.89 0.02-1.67 0.09 1.34 600395.SH 0.23 0.05 0.24 0.16 13.20-0.58 12.57 14.80 1.22-0.09 1.13 1.33 000983.SZ 0.65 0.28 0.47 0.64 8.50 2.25 7.33 7.31 1.47 0.21 1.44 1.77 000937.SZ 0.55 0.11 0.50 0.46 9.86 3.44 9.34 7.04 2.27 0.95 2.00 1.40 601666.SH 0.73 0.14 0.70 0.68 4.51 1.13 3.74 4.43 4.21 1.41 4.42 3.29 600508.SH 0.26 0.03 0.23 0.25 5.23-0.21 5.03 8.20 0.60-0.04 0.61 0.63 600985.SH 0.30 0.04 0.30 0.27 7.87-0.61 8.08 8.69 1.02 0.18 0.99 0.91 600397.SH 0.62 0.21 0.64 0.50 2.67 0.92 2.76 2.22 3.17 0.49 3.16 2.69 600157.SH 0.26-0.01 0.26 0.25 5.09 1.55 4.75 3.70 7.59 0.41 8.78 6.93 600758.SH 0.75 0.08 0.67 0.63 6.96-0.33 6.17 6.83 2.87-1.15 2.62 3.54 0.51 0.11 0.45 0.44 7.90 0.95 7.46 7.70 2.27 0.07 2.34 2.17 600123.SH 0.80-0.23 0.76 0.90 9.75 0.40 9.35 10.91 1.22-0.90 1.25 2.28 000933.SZ 1.03 0.36 0.91 0.77 3.83 1.86 3.85 2.22 0.32-1.28 0.83 1.80 0.91 0.07 0.84 0.83 6.79 1.13 6.60 6.56 0.77-1.09 1.04 2.04 600997.SH 0.94-0.18 0.93 1.19 5.05 1.26 4.29 4.34 0.43-0.50 0.48 0.88 600408.SH 0.05 0.01 0.05 0.04 1.40-0.48 1.34 1.66 1.49 0.49 1.46 1.07 600740.SH 0.58 0.11 0.57 0.46 4.24 1.36 4.00 3.11 2.43 0.75 2.29 1.83 603113.SH 0.11 0.00 0.11 0.13 2.04-1.24 2.12 2.13 0.95 0.46 0.87 1.02 000723.SZ 0.93 0.25 0.91 0.69 4.92 1.26 4.85 3.93 1.72 0.43 1.75 1.33 601015.SH 0.58 0.26 0.54 0.28 1.44 0.55 1.37 0.96 1.75 0.51 1.67 1.28 601011.SH 0.31 0.07 0.27 0.24 6.35 1.18 6.41 5.34 3.10 0.82 3.35 2.53 600792.SH 0.13-0.06 0.12 0.18 2.74-0.70 2.63 3.38 1.12 0.11 0.92 1.12 0.45 0.06 0.44 0.40 3.52 0.40 3.38 3.11 1.62 0.38 1.60 1.38 Wind 4 35 Wind 11 2.3 Q3 2023 9 4.56 2022 9 1654 2023 6 562 2015 2023 9 59.97%2022 9 0.38pct 2023 6+0.16pct 2016 4 70.23%2009-2012 60%5 Wind 2023 9 35 51.97%2022-0.03pct 2023 6-0.66pct 35 2023 30%1 2.8%24.72%75%2 5.6%79.82%94.65%23Q3 23Q2 2022 35 3.28 2021 0.71 2023 9 35 1.38-0.94 6 0.52 2016 35 22Q3 23Q3 12 6 35 Wind 7 35 Wind 13 7 35(%)2020 2021 2022 2023Q1-3 2020 2021 2022 2023Q1-3 002128.SZ 40.31 37.58 35.15 33.40 62.98 63.33 85.04 54.73 601225.SH 39.78 38.18 35.93 38.25 211.40 511.21 561.39 284.70 601918.SH 72.95 67.98 63.18 58.35 20.34 44.60 30.07 33.69 601088.SH 23.87 26.58 26.13 24.72 812.89 945.75 1097.34 747.20 601001.SH 60.60 55.84 49.81 37.48 37.49 78.20 56.38 48.67 000552.SZ 36.98 38.74 50.98 47.48 6.39 23.92 50.65 19.47 600403.SH 66.88 64.36 61.18 62.94-2.77 57.41 30.93 9.87 601898.SH 56.03 55.74 51.47 47.78 226.32 481.06 436.34 283.55 600546.SH 72.93 68.77 58.66 50.67 42.77 162.35 134.96 50.07 600121.SH 82.24 81.31 80.65 79.82-1.14 0.42 11.80 1.48 600188.SH 69.19 66.58 56.70 69.49 222.33 361.82 534.50 190.07 600575.SH 37.82 38.80 35.66 35.22 13.16 16.25 16.71 5.17 600348.SH 54.76 63.13 57.65 54.51 39.67 84.64 99.70 43.02 601101.SH 54.94 51.34 53.96 52.26 17.63 42.79 42.07 30.61 54.95 53.92 51.22 49.46 122.10 205.27 227.71 128.74 600971.SH 40.53 43.39 42.89 40.96 16.66 21.53 29.90 27.28 601699.SH 66.81 64.75 48.08 44.32 22.82 80.49 337.69 92.82 600395.SH 55.11 61.23 58.12 61.38 6.83 16.79 35.35 12.32 000983.SZ 69.21 63.13 54.99 49.66 52.42 110.08 169.15 89.15 000937.SZ 53.98 50.97 51.58 52.48 66.40 50.19 55.05 17.71 601666.SH 66.80 69.93 66.59 64.60 26.14 84.37 109.20 69.03 600508.SH 38.46 40.54 37.24 34.46 6.22 12.02 38.17 9.03 600985.SH 62.01 56.72 54.78 52.64 55.08 110.53 166.69 74.37 600397.SH 93.22 92.87 94.69 94.65 0.99 1.98 2.02 1.10 600157.SH 56.35 55.80 54.19 51.43 50.19 51.19 64.43 49.08 600758.SH 67.21 66.83 64.54 59.66 7.87 18.72 16.69 5.10 60.88 60.56 57.06 55.11 28.33 50.72 93.12 40.64 600123.SH 58.49 55.10 49.58 49.54 6.84 32.87 56.99 26.83 000933.SZ 79.51 73.14 64.98 63.12 17.22 112.96 140.61 70.42 69.00 64.12 57.28 56.33 12.03 72.92 98.80 48.63 600997.SH 47.98 47.55 45.84 47.64 18.51 43.78 40.41 8.19 600408.SH 54.27 46.60 51.49 57.78 7.04 4.85 0.20 1.88 600740.SH 45.73 39.78 37.46 37.81 4.86 7.43-6.00-12.41 603113.SH 33.21 33.30 46.66 49.85 13.23 8.23-5.13 7.59 000723.SZ 55.53 51.42 54.76 57.30 12.19 49.11 31.95 2.07 601015.SH 53.99 48.03 48.49 54.38-11.30 0.13 3.49 5.50 601011.SH 38.01 41.31 37.46 38.56 3.22 6.80 0.13 7.38 600792.SH 33.93 44.97 65.43 64.44 0.28 2.58 9.26-6.34 45.33 44.12 48.45 50.97 6.00 15.36 9.29 1.73 Wind 2.4 23 2017 2022 35 1256 2015 1000 2021 347 2023 9 923 258 23 2023 1230 2022 26 14 8 35 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 22Q3 23Q3 002128.SZ 6.3 6.3 7.5 5.5 3.4 3.4 24.0 25.3 28.5 33.4 67.3 32.0 52.5 601225.SH 69.2 65.7 26.9 24.5 20.1 50.1 44.2 48.4 83.0 79.7 101.7 43.1 38.3 601918.SH 22.7 15.7 17.3 29.0 11.9 5.6 4.8 9.2 10.5 4.2 20.9 10.3 13.8 601088.SH 533.7 516.7 445.4 298.8 290.6 202.7 209.4 190.1 206.7 238.6 286.8 179.5 261.5 601001.SH 18.2 19.6 19.5 12.1 9.5 4.7 12.6 4.9 7.9 4.8 5.9 4.0 5.7 000552.SZ 5.3 3.3 4.2 8.6 2.1 1.8 1.3 2.6 1.2 6.8 27.0 3.4 19.1 600403.SH 13.2 14.5 12.8 11.3 0.6 2.5 3.8 3.7 4.4 8.0 8.9 3.7 6.4 601898.SH 275.6 253.7 197.0 114.4 90.2 85.1 94.3 109.5 103.1 104.3 97.6 60.0 66.

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